Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.124884 0.138902 0.153242 0.168967 0.185690 0.202906 0.221932
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.109033 0.128763 0.149681 0.173380 0.199355 0.226838 0.257995
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.094595 0.117973 0.143563 0.173377 0.206888 0.243139 0.285067
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.086061 0.112573 0.142400 0.177970 0.218774 0.263695 0.316465
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.077211 0.105823 0.138875 0.179160 0.226244 0.278899 0.341609
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.068854 0.098837 0.134378 0.178602 0.231194 0.290858 0.362794
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.062458 0.093649 0.131514 0.179522 0.237498 0.304097 0.385247
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.056019 0.087847 0.127432 0.178559 0.241230 0.314088 0.403755
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052370 0.085333 0.127174 0.182047 0.250129 0.330036 0.429158
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047853 0.081294 0.124679 0.182500 0.255141 0.341237 0.448894
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043587 0.077258 0.121911 0.182369 0.259248 0.351221 0.467100
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039299 0.072854 0.118382 0.181024 0.261656 0.359013 0.482590
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.036312 0.070193 0.117137 0.182669 0.267933 0.371721 0.504314
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034435 0.069034 0.117844 0.186819 0.277369 0.388333 0.530843
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031303 0.065712 0.115358 0.186568 0.281070 0.397805 0.548672
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029949 0.065064 0.116571 0.191251 0.291126 0.415198 0.576254
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027683 0.062769 0.115286 0.192431 0.296559 0.426784 0.596707
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025114 0.059758 0.112793 0.191813 0.299535 0.435219 0.613239
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023169 0.057638 0.111495 0.192759 0.304511 0.446148 0.632867
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020904 0.054755 0.108892 0.191742 0.306777 0.453573 0.648094
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019907 0.054069 0.109593 0.195388 0.315288 0.468989 0.673363
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018276 0.052065 0.108141 0.195859 0.319455 0.478801 0.691592
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.016646 0.049905 0.106330 0.195721 0.322731 0.487429 0.708319